MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 02:53:09| >> :600:106713:106713:
Peterborough United
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 7, 2024 at 2pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Leeds logo

Peterborough
0 - 3
Leeds


Knight (35')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ampadu (34', 90'), Bamford (47')
Gnonto (39'), Ampadu (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Peterborough United and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Birmingham
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Peterborough United 2-3 Leeds United

A bit of a bold prediction in terms of the scoreline, but we just fancy goals in this contest, with Leeds just coming out on top. Peterborough have so much quality in the advanced areas, and the same can also be said for Leeds, even if Farke, as is expected, rests some important players. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.07%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawLeeds United
43.71% (0.232 0.23) 23.27% (0.113 0.11) 33.02% (-0.345 -0.34)
Both teams to score 63.25% (-0.558 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.85% (-0.67400000000001 -0.67)38.15% (0.673 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.58% (-0.721 -0.72)60.42% (0.72 0.72)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.12% (-0.17700000000001 -0.18)17.88% (0.178 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.34% (-0.307 -0.31)48.66% (0.306 0.31)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.02% (-0.509 -0.51)22.97% (0.51 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.23% (-0.756 -0.76)56.76% (0.756 0.76)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 43.71%
    Leeds United 33.02%
    Draw 23.27%
Peterborough UnitedDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.051 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.07% (0.186 0.19)
2-0 @ 6.09% (0.125 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.14%
3-2 @ 3.78% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.49% (0.053 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.21% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 43.71%
1-1 @ 10.4% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 6.58% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.11% (0.131 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.85% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.27%
1-2 @ 7.65% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.04% (0.104 0.1)
0-2 @ 4.44% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.75% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.23% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.18% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.38% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.19% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 33.02%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Leeds

Peterborough United
18.4%
Draw
12.2%
Leeds United
69.4%
49
Head to Head
Jul 23, 2016 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Peterborough
2-1
Leeds
Coulthirst (48', 65')
Mowatt (15')
Aug 25, 2012 3pm
Peterborough
1-2
Leeds
Bostwick (73')
Sinclair (28'), Zakuani (41'), Little (70'), Swanson (83')
Becchio (7', 50')
Apr 14, 2012 3pm
Leeds
4-1
Peterborough
McCormack (47', 48'), Paynter (45', 73')

McCann (22'), Brisley (43')
Oct 22, 2011 12pm
Peterborough
2-3
Leeds
Zakuani (23'), Little (88')
Frecklington (31'), McCann (60')
Tomlin (37')
Clayton (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
8Aston Villa2912984145-445
9Bournemouth28128847341344
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2896133248-1633
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!