MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 09:49:06| >> :600:711705:711705:
Peterborough United
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 7, 2024 at 2pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Leeds logo

Peterborough
0 - 3
Leeds


Knight (35')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ampadu (34', 90'), Bamford (47')
Gnonto (39'), Ampadu (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Peterborough United and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Birmingham
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Peterborough United 2-3 Leeds United

A bit of a bold prediction in terms of the scoreline, but we just fancy goals in this contest, with Leeds just coming out on top. Peterborough have so much quality in the advanced areas, and the same can also be said for Leeds, even if Farke, as is expected, rests some important players. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.07%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawLeeds United
43.71% (0.232 0.23) 23.27% (0.113 0.11) 33.02% (-0.345 -0.34)
Both teams to score 63.25% (-0.558 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.85% (-0.67400000000001 -0.67)38.15% (0.673 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.58% (-0.721 -0.72)60.42% (0.72 0.72)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.12% (-0.17700000000001 -0.18)17.88% (0.178 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.34% (-0.307 -0.31)48.66% (0.306 0.31)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.02% (-0.509 -0.51)22.97% (0.51 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.23% (-0.756 -0.76)56.76% (0.756 0.76)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 43.71%
    Leeds United 33.02%
    Draw 23.27%
Peterborough UnitedDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.051 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.07% (0.186 0.19)
2-0 @ 6.09% (0.125 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.14%
3-2 @ 3.78% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.49% (0.053 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.21% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 43.71%
1-1 @ 10.4% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 6.58% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.11% (0.131 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.85% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.27%
1-2 @ 7.65% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.04% (0.104 0.1)
0-2 @ 4.44% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.75% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.23% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.18% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.38% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.19% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 33.02%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Leeds

Peterborough United
18.4%
Draw
12.2%
Leeds United
69.4%
49
Head to Head
Jul 23, 2016 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Peterborough
2-1
Leeds
Coulthirst (48', 65')
Mowatt (15')
Aug 25, 2012 3pm
Peterborough
1-2
Leeds
Bostwick (73')
Sinclair (28'), Zakuani (41'), Little (70'), Swanson (83')
Becchio (7', 50')
Apr 14, 2012 3pm
Leeds
4-1
Peterborough
McCormack (47', 48'), Paynter (45', 73')

McCann (22'), Brisley (43')
Oct 22, 2011 12pm
Peterborough
2-3
Leeds
Zakuani (23'), Little (88')
Frecklington (31'), McCann (60')
Tomlin (37')
Clayton (54')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
8Bournemouth167452421325
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
10Fulham166642422224
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Crystal Palace173771826-816
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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