CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Sep 6, 2024 at 10pm UK
Kirani James National Stadium
St Lucia2 - 1Curacao
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Saint Lucia and Curacao.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: St Lucia 2-2 Aruba
Tuesday, June 11 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Tuesday, June 11 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Aruba 0-2 Curacao
Sunday, June 9 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Sunday, June 9 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Martinique | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -4 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Lucia win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Curacao had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Lucia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Curacao win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint Lucia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Saint Lucia | Draw | Curacao |
40.22% ( 0.09) | 25.92% ( -0.01) | 33.86% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 54.14% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
