Navalcarnero

0 - 1

Alcorcon

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alcorcon win with a probability of 58.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Navalcarnero had a probability of 19.06%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alcorcon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.6%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Navalcarnero win it was 1-0 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Alcorcon in this match.