Copa del Rey | First Round

Nov 1, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Roman Suarez Puerta

Real Aviles
0 - 1
Arenteiro

dos Santos (36'), del Amo (70')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Marquitos (32')
Rodriguez (42')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Real Aviles and Arenteiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Aviles

Last Game: UD Logrones 4-0 Real Aviles
Wednesday, August 30 at 7.30pm in Copa del Rey

Arenteiro

Last Game: Arenteiro 1-3 Atletico
Thursday, December 22 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Aviles win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Arenteiro had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Aviles win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Arenteiro win was 0-1 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Real Aviles	Draw	Arenteiro
41.33% ( 0.01)	28.16% ( 0.16)	30.52% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 46.3% (

-0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.38% (

-0.6)

59.62% (

0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.05% (

-0.46)

79.95% (

0.46)

Real Aviles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.61% (

-0.28)

28.39% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.87% (

-0.35)

64.13% (

0.35)

Arenteiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.65% (

-0.45)

35.35% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.89% (

-0.47)

72.1% (

0.47)

Score Analysis

Real Aviles 41.32%

Arenteiro 30.51%

Draw 28.15%

Real Aviles	Draw	Arenteiro
1-0 @ 12.63% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.34% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.7% Total : 41.32%	1-1 @ 13.14% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 10.03% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.15%	0-1 @ 10.43% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.08% Total : 30.51%