Copa del Rey | First Round
Nov 1, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Nuevo Estadio La Victoria
Real Jaen2 - 3Eldense
Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Real Jaen and Eldense.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Eldense 2-0 Amorebieta
Saturday, October 28 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Saturday, October 28 at 1pm in Segunda Division
Goals
for
for
15
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eldense win with a probability of 47.22%. A win for Real Jaen had a probability of 26.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eldense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Real Jaen win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eldense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Jaen | Draw | Eldense |
26.64% ( 0.11) | 26.13% ( -0.03) | 47.22% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 49.86% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
