EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Second Round

Aug 24, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Holker Street

Barrow
0 - 6
Aston Villa

Brown (78'), Arthur (81'), Brough (82')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Archer (10', 62', 88'), El Ghazi (24' pen., 45+2'), Guilbert (75')
Nakamba (35')

Cameron Archer makes most of Aston Villa first-team chance with treble at Barrow

Cameron Archer scored three while Jaden Philogene-Bidace and Carney Chukwuemeka were also handed their first starts for the club.

Aug 24, 22:42

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 60.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 18.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.23%) and 0-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Barrow win it was 2-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Barrow	Draw	Aston Villa
18.7%	20.55%	60.74%

Both teams to score 57.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.28%

38.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.97%

61.03%

Barrow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.82%

34.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.13%

70.87%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.65%

12.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.82%

38.18%

Score Analysis

Barrow 18.7%

Aston Villa 60.75%

Draw 20.55%

Barrow	Draw	Aston Villa
2-1 @ 5.09% 1-0 @ 4.53% 2-0 @ 2.43% 3-2 @ 1.9% 3-1 @ 1.82% Other @ 2.93% Total : 18.7%	1-1 @ 9.48% 2-2 @ 5.32% 0-0 @ 4.22% 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.55%	1-2 @ 9.91% 0-2 @ 9.23% 0-1 @ 8.83% 1-3 @ 6.91% 0-3 @ 6.44% 2-3 @ 3.71% 1-4 @ 3.61% 0-4 @ 3.37% 2-4 @ 1.94% 1-5 @ 1.51% 0-5 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.88% Total : 60.75%