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Stoke logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 9, 2022 at 2pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Leyton Orient

Stoke
2 - 0
Leyton Orient

Ince (43'), Campbell (89')
Duhaney (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mitchell (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Stoke City and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Stoke City 2-0 Leyton Orient

Regardless of which team O'Neill selects on Sunday, Orient will fancy their chances of an upset. Nevertheless, Stoke should be able to come through this tie in what could prove to be a routine afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 49.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 25.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Leyton Orient win it was 0-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Stoke City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Stoke City.

Result
Stoke CityDrawLeyton Orient
49.69%25.17%25.14%
Both teams to score 51.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.72%51.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.88%73.11%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.34%20.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.77%53.22%
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.83%35.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.08%71.92%
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 49.68%
    Leyton Orient 25.14%
    Draw 25.17%
Stoke CityDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 11.45%
2-1 @ 9.44%
2-0 @ 9.04%
3-1 @ 4.97%
3-0 @ 4.75%
3-2 @ 2.59%
4-1 @ 1.96%
4-0 @ 1.87%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 49.68%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 7.26%
2-2 @ 4.93%
3-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 7.59%
1-2 @ 6.26%
0-2 @ 3.97%
1-3 @ 2.18%
2-3 @ 1.72%
0-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 25.14%

How you voted: Stoke vs Leyton Orient

Stoke City
80.0%
Draw
8.9%
Leyton Orient
11.1%
45
rhs 2.0
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1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
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