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AFC Wimbledon
League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 20, 2021 at 7pm UK
Cherry Red Records Fans' Stadium
Oxford United

AFC Wimbledon
2 - 1
Oxford Utd

Pigott (62' pen.), Woodyard (64')
Pigott (58'), Guinness-Walker (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ruffels (52')
Henry (62')
Coverage of the League One clash between AFC Wimbledon and Oxford United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 48.82%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 25.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.32%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 1-0 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawOxford United
25.06%26.12%48.82%
Both teams to score 48.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.99%55.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.72%76.27%
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.72%37.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.94%74.06%
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.43%22.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.84%56.16%
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 25.06%
    Oxford United 48.82%
    Draw 26.11%
AFC WimbledonDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 8.3%
2-1 @ 6.1%
2-0 @ 4.1%
3-1 @ 2.01%
3-2 @ 1.49%
3-0 @ 1.35%
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 25.06%
1-1 @ 12.35%
0-0 @ 8.41%
2-2 @ 4.54%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.11%
0-1 @ 12.52%
0-2 @ 9.32%
1-2 @ 9.2%
0-3 @ 4.63%
1-3 @ 4.57%
2-3 @ 2.25%
0-4 @ 1.72%
1-4 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 48.82%

Head to Head
Feb 2, 2021 7pm
Quarter-Finals
Oxford Utd
3-1
AFC Wimbledon
Winnall (13', 29'), Shodipo (52')
Chislett (78')
Longman (82')
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 20
Oxford Utd
2-0
AFC Wimbledon
Obita (13'), Taylor (22')
Rodriguez (50'), Agyei (83')

Thomas (21'), Csoka (45+3')
Sep 5, 2020 3pm
First Round
Oxford Utd
1-1
AFC Wimbledon
Oxford Utd win 4-3 on penalties
Brannagan (63')
Taylor (67' og.)
Hartigan (61')
Feb 18, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Oxford Utd
5-0
AFC Wimbledon
Taylor (32', 90'), Holland (34', 55'), Henry (50')
Dec 29, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 24
AFC Wimbledon
1-2
Oxford Utd
Pigott (47')
Guinness-Walker (45'), Rudoni (84')
McLoughlin (26' og.), Sykes (61')
Brannagan (7')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
3Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
4Birmingham CityBirmingham1493226151130
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield158252315826
6Barnsley167542420426
7Lincoln CityLincoln167542320326
8Reading158252422226
9Bolton WanderersBolton158252425-126
10Mansfield TownMansfield147342016424
11Exeter CityExeter157261413123
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
13Bristol Rovers166371721-421
14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
19Blackpool164572230-817
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient154381418-415
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge153391324-1112
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion151591528-138


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