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League One | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Bolton
1 - 0
Cheltenham

Dempsey (80')
Bradley (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Broom (31'), Williams (59'), Keena (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 1-2 Bolton
Saturday, January 28 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-0 Cheltenham Town

Bolton have won their last three matches at home in all competitions, so we think they will claim all three points on Saturday against a Cheltenham side who are winless in their last five. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 70.15%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 11.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawCheltenham Town
70.15% (0.426 0.43) 18.6% (-0.204 -0.2) 11.26% (-0.216 -0.22)
Both teams to score 45.26% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.44% (0.323 0.32)45.56% (-0.318 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.11% (0.307 0.31)67.89% (-0.301 -0.3)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.22% (0.212 0.21)11.78% (-0.207 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.03% (0.447 0.45)36.97% (-0.441 -0.44)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.31% (-0.184 -0.18)48.7% (0.191 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.26% (-0.133 -0.13)83.74% (0.139 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 70.14%
    Cheltenham Town 11.26%
    Draw 18.6%
Bolton WanderersDrawCheltenham Town
2-0 @ 13.12% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-0 @ 12.26% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 9.36% (0.103 0.1)
3-1 @ 6.73% (0.037 0.04)
4-0 @ 5% (0.095 0.09)
4-1 @ 3.6% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-0 @ 2.14% (0.058 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.54% (0.034 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 70.14%
1-1 @ 8.83% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.74% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
2-2 @ 3.4% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 18.6%
0-1 @ 4.13% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
1-2 @ 3.18% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-2 @ 1.49% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 11.26%

How you voted: Bolton vs Cheltenham

Bolton Wanderers
100%
Draw
0.0%
Cheltenham Town
0.0%
15
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Cheltenham
1-2
Bolton
Ramsey (89')
Lloyd (52'), Bonds (72')
Sadlier (57'), Bakayoko (76' pen.)
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Bolton
2-2
Cheltenham
Amaechi (26'), Kachunga (58')
Thomason (30')
May (14', 45+4')
Crowley (45+3')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Dec 15, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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