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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 70.15%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 11.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
70.15% ( 0.43) | 18.6% ( -0.2) | 11.26% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 45.26% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.44% ( 0.32) | 45.56% ( -0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.11% ( 0.31) | 67.89% ( -0.3) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.22% ( 0.21) | 11.78% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.03% ( 0.45) | 36.97% ( -0.44) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.31% ( -0.18) | 48.7% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.26% ( -0.13) | 83.74% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
2-0 @ 13.12% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 12.26% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 6.73% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 5% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 70.14% | 1-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.64% Total : 18.6% | 0-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.47% Total : 11.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |