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League One | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Bolton
1 - 0
Cheltenham

Dempsey (80')
Bradley (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Broom (31'), Williams (59'), Keena (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 1-2 Bolton
Saturday, January 28 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-0 Cheltenham Town

Bolton have won their last three matches at home in all competitions, so we think they will claim all three points on Saturday against a Cheltenham side who are winless in their last five. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 70.15%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 11.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawCheltenham Town
70.15% (0.426 0.43) 18.6% (-0.204 -0.2) 11.26% (-0.216 -0.22)
Both teams to score 45.26% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.44% (0.323 0.32)45.56% (-0.318 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.11% (0.307 0.31)67.89% (-0.301 -0.3)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.22% (0.212 0.21)11.78% (-0.207 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.03% (0.447 0.45)36.97% (-0.441 -0.44)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.31% (-0.184 -0.18)48.7% (0.191 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.26% (-0.133 -0.13)83.74% (0.139 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 70.14%
    Cheltenham Town 11.26%
    Draw 18.6%
Bolton WanderersDrawCheltenham Town
2-0 @ 13.12% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-0 @ 12.26% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 9.36% (0.103 0.1)
3-1 @ 6.73% (0.037 0.04)
4-0 @ 5% (0.095 0.09)
4-1 @ 3.6% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-0 @ 2.14% (0.058 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.54% (0.034 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 70.14%
1-1 @ 8.83% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.74% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
2-2 @ 3.4% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 18.6%
0-1 @ 4.13% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
1-2 @ 3.18% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-2 @ 1.49% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 11.26%

How you voted: Bolton vs Cheltenham

Bolton Wanderers
100%
Draw
0.0%
Cheltenham Town
0.0%
15
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Cheltenham
1-2
Bolton
Ramsey (89')
Lloyd (52'), Bonds (72')
Sadlier (57'), Bakayoko (76' pen.)
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Bolton
2-2
Cheltenham
Amaechi (26'), Kachunga (58')
Thomason (30')
May (14', 45+4')
Crowley (45+3')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Dec 15, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton26115103941-238
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2510783126537
11Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
12Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Exeter CityExeter2695122933-432
15Blackpool2571083437-331
16Stevenage248791922-331
17Wigan AthleticWigan2586112426-230
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2676134247-527
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Burton Albion2639142340-1718
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118


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