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League One | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Bolton
1 - 0
Cheltenham

Dempsey (80')
Bradley (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Broom (31'), Williams (59'), Keena (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 1-2 Bolton
Saturday, January 28 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-0 Cheltenham Town

Bolton have won their last three matches at home in all competitions, so we think they will claim all three points on Saturday against a Cheltenham side who are winless in their last five. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 70.15%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 11.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawCheltenham Town
70.15% (0.426 0.43) 18.6% (-0.204 -0.2) 11.26% (-0.216 -0.22)
Both teams to score 45.26% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.44% (0.323 0.32)45.56% (-0.318 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.11% (0.307 0.31)67.89% (-0.301 -0.3)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.22% (0.212 0.21)11.78% (-0.207 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.03% (0.447 0.45)36.97% (-0.441 -0.44)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.31% (-0.184 -0.18)48.7% (0.191 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.26% (-0.133 -0.13)83.74% (0.139 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 70.14%
    Cheltenham Town 11.26%
    Draw 18.6%
Bolton WanderersDrawCheltenham Town
2-0 @ 13.12% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-0 @ 12.26% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 9.36% (0.103 0.1)
3-1 @ 6.73% (0.037 0.04)
4-0 @ 5% (0.095 0.09)
4-1 @ 3.6% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-0 @ 2.14% (0.058 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.54% (0.034 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 70.14%
1-1 @ 8.83% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.74% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
2-2 @ 3.4% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 18.6%
0-1 @ 4.13% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
1-2 @ 3.18% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-2 @ 1.49% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 11.26%

How you voted: Bolton vs Cheltenham

Bolton Wanderers
100%
Draw
0.0%
Cheltenham Town
0.0%
15
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Cheltenham
1-2
Bolton
Ramsey (89')
Lloyd (52'), Bonds (72')
Sadlier (57'), Bakayoko (76' pen.)
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Bolton
2-2
Cheltenham
Amaechi (26'), Kachunga (58')
Thomason (30')
May (14', 45+4')
Crowley (45+3')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Dec 15, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham7610168819
2Wrexham8521146817
3Lincoln CityLincoln7421126614
4Blackpool84221613314
5Mansfield TownMansfield74211311214
6Barnsley84221311214
7Wycombe WanderersWycombe74121411313
8Charlton AthleticCharlton841376113
9Stockport CountyStockport7331117412
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield84041210212
11Stevenage832365111
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough83231414011
13Exeter CityExeter731386210
14Bolton WanderersBolton7313911-210
15Reading7313911-210
16Wigan AthleticWigan82336519
17Northampton TownNorthampton722389-18
18Leyton Orient8224911-28
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham8143610-47
20Crawley TownCrawley7214510-57
21Bristol Rovers8215713-67
22Burton Albion7043813-54
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury8116613-74
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge7016615-91


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