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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bristol Rovers in this match.
Result | ||
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Port Vale |
42.4% ( 0.57) | 25.75% ( -0.15) | 31.84% ( -0.42) |
Both teams to score 54.07% ( 0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.06% ( 0.49) | 49.94% ( -0.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.07% ( 0.43) | 71.93% ( -0.43) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.6% ( 0.5) | 23.4% ( -0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.62% ( 0.72) | 57.38% ( -0.72) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.59% ( -0.04) | 29.41% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.6% ( -0.05) | 65.4% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Port Vale |
1-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.02% Total : 42.4% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.75% | 0-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 7.49% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 31.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |