League One | Gameweek 21
Dec 10, 2022 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
We said: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Port Vale
With both sides being in similar veins of form, we think this will be a tightly-contested affair.
However, Port Vale ended Plymouth's 100% home record last time out, so we fancy them to continue their good form here and make it three consecutive wins in the league.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 42.4% . A win for Port Vale had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.7% .
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.26%) . The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (8.42%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%) . The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bristol Rovers in this match.
Result Bristol Rovers Draw Port Vale 42.4% ( 0.57) 25.75% ( -0.15) 31.84% ( -0.42)
Both teams to score 54.07% ( 0.32)
50.06% ( 0.49) 49.94% ( -0.49)
28.07% ( 0.43) 71.93% ( -0.43)
76.6% ( 0.5) 23.4% ( -0.5)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 42.62% ( 0.72) 57.38% ( -0.72)
70.59% ( -0.04) 29.41% ( 0.04)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 34.6% ( -0.05) 65.4% ( 0.05)
Bristol Rovers 42.4%
Port Vale 31.84%
Draw 25.75%
Bristol Rovers Draw Port Vale 1-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.02% Total : 42.4% 1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.75% 0-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 7.49% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 31.84%
How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Port Vale
Bristol Rovers
Draw
Port Vale
42
rhs 2.0
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