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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 48.52%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Exeter City |
48.52% ( -0.03) | 25.05% ( -0.01) | 26.43% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 52.99% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.19% ( 0.08) | 49.81% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.19% ( 0.07) | 71.81% ( -0.07) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.45% ( 0.02) | 20.55% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.93% ( 0.03) | 53.07% ( -0.03) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.7% ( 0.08) | 33.3% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.08% ( 0.08) | 69.91% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Exeter City |
1-0 @ 10.82% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.97% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.79% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 48.51% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.04% | 0-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.14% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 26.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |