League One

League One | Gameweek 29

Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK

Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
2 - 0
Charlton

Helm (24'), Brayford (47')
Bennett (5'), Helm (42')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Thomas (35'), May (90+7')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Derby 3-2 Burton Albion
Monday, January 15 at 8pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Charlton Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Charlton 1-2 Peterborough
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Burton Albion 1-1 Charlton Athletic

There is little doubt that Charlton possess more individual talent, particularly in offensive areas, but their confidence levels are likely to be low having lost four of their last five league games. Burton are not in great form themselves, but they have remained consistent at home and are fighting to impress their new manager. As such, we expect the hosts to avoid defeat as a worst case scenario, but Charlton should have enough firepower to get something out of the game. A score draw feels the likeliest outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Charlton Athletic
33.78% ( 0.02)	24.85% ( 0.01)	41.38% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 57.8% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.61% (

-0.05)

45.39% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.27% (

-0.05)

67.73% (

0.05)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.03% (

-0.01)

25.97% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.01% (

-0.02)

60.99% (

0.02)

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.08% (

-0.03)

21.92% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.81% (

-0.05)

55.2% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 33.78%

Charlton Athletic 41.38%

Draw 24.85%

Burton Albion	Draw	Charlton Athletic
2-1 @ 7.85% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.33% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 33.78%	1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.85%	1-2 @ 8.84% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.56% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.47% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.32% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 41.38%