Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 50.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 23.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Barrow win it was 0-1 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.