Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 37.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.86%) and 2-0 (5.03%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.