We said: Chicago Fire 2-0 Sporting Kansas City
Optimism was high around the Chicago Fire camp ahead of the campaign and while they may have struggled at times in their early-season matches, they do look to have hit a groove with the victory last time out.
For Sporting Kansas, they are yet to find their feet this season, making the hosts the more likely to take three points from this clash.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.