Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montreal Impact win with a probability of 59.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 17.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montreal Impact win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montreal Impact would win this match.
