Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 50.22%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spennymoor Town would win this match.
