We said: Belarus 1-1 Luxembourg
A low-scoring encounter is surely in store, as the two teams have managed just one goal between them at the midpoint of their Group 3 campaigns.
Luxembourg are lacking confidence in the final third, while Belarus can be tough to break down, so the points will be shared at a near-empty ZTE Arena.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belarus win with a probability of 42.11%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 27.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belarus win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 2-1 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.27%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 0-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.