MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 13:29:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Pacos de Ferreira logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 21, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio da Capital do Móvel
Braga

Pacos de Ferreira
1 - 2
Braga

Holsgrove (68')
Carlos (38'), Marafona (84')
de Brito Gonzaga (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Oliveira (58'), Banza (90+8')
Sequeira (20'), Horta (38'), Oliveira (81'), Santos (90+11'), Santos (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braga 1-0 Boavista
Saturday, January 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Pacos de Ferreira 1-3 Braga

In the presence of UEFA-designated tournaments since 2004-05, we predict that Braga will continue their aspirations of not only once gracing both domestic and continental engagements but keep their dream of winning their first-ever Primeira Liga title alive. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 58.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 19.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.09%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Pacos de FerreiraDrawBraga
19.47% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05) 22.35% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 58.17% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Both teams to score 52.91% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.29% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)45.71% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.97% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)68.03% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.55% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)37.45% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.77% (-0.081 -0.08)74.23% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.59% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)15.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)44.23% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Pacos de Ferreira 19.47%
    Braga 58.17%
    Draw 22.35%
Pacos de FerreiraDrawBraga
1-0 @ 5.67% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-1 @ 5.21% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.7% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.59% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 19.47%
1-1 @ 10.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.77% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.35%
0-1 @ 10.79% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 10.09% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.91% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 6.29% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 3.04% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.89% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-4 @ 1.42% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-5 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
1-5 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 58.17%

How you voted: Pacos de Ferreira vs Braga

Pacos de Ferreira
5.6%
Draw
2.8%
Braga
91.7%
36
Head to Head
Dec 11, 2022 7pm
Feb 12, 2022 3.30pm
Braga
2-1
Pacos de Ferreira
Horta (67', 90')
Horta (45'), Buta (56'), Horta (64'), Castro (90+3')
Horta (71')
Antunes (45+1')
Uilton (40'), Baixinho (66')
Oct 28, 2021 8.15pm
Braga
0-0
Pacos de Ferreira

Moura (28'), Leite (50'), Sequeira (80')
Moura (45+1')

Bastos (28'), Vekic (42'), de Brito Gonzaga (49'), Djalo (60'), Silva (77'), Denilson (90+1')
Sep 11, 2021 3.30pm
May 5, 2021 7pm
Braga
1-1
Pacos de Ferreira
Galeno (78' pen.)
Ruiz (90+2')
Pedro (26')
Amaral (33'), Pedro (39'), Silva (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon22164259184152
2Benfica22162450183250
3Porto21134445182743
4Braga21134438201843
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2212282523238
6Casa Pia229672928133
7Estoril PraiaEstoril228772834-631
8Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes217953025530
9MoreirenseMoreirense2275102833-526
10FamalicaoFamalicao2151062224-225
11Rio AveRio Ave216782335-1225
12AroucaArouca2266102134-1324
13Nacional2265112130-923
14Gil Vicente215792332-922
15Estrela Amadora2255121934-1520
16AVS213991631-1518
17SC FarenseFarense2136121330-1715
18BoavistaBoavista2226141437-2312


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!