MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 06:08:32| >> :120:13635:13635:
Champions League header

Champions League
Shakhtar Donetsk
Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 19, 2023 at 8pm UK
Imtech Arena
Porto

Shakhtar
1 - 3
Porto

Kelsy (13')
Sikan (6'), Stepanenko (31'), Konoplya (76')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Galeno (8', 15'), Taremi (29')
Carmo (4'), Mario (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions
Last Game: Shakhtar 1-0 Obolon
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Porto

All competitions
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 0-1 Porto
Friday, September 15 at 7.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Shakhtar Donetsk 1-1 Porto

 This is a really difficult match to call, especially as both sides have been in strong form this season. A draw would not be the worst result in the world for either team, and we are backing the points to be shared in Tuesday's Group H clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 56.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 21.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 1-0 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Shakhtar DonetskDrawPorto
21.19% (-0.103 -0.1) 22.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 56.3% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Both teams to score 55.17% (-0.125 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.96% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)44.04% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.58% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)66.42% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.26% (-0.15100000000001 -0.15)34.74% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.53% (-0.159 -0.16)71.47% (0.15700000000001 0.16)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.54% (0.0020000000000095 0)15.46% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.68% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)44.32% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Shakhtar Donetsk 21.19%
    Porto 56.29%
    Draw 22.5%
Shakhtar DonetskDrawPorto
1-0 @ 5.68%
2-1 @ 5.6% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.98% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 21.19%
1-1 @ 10.6%
0-0 @ 5.37% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.5%
0-1 @ 10.02% (0.035 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 9.36% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 6.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 5.83% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.26% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.88% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 2.72% (0.013 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.52% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-5 @ 1.07%
0-5 @ 1.02% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 56.29%

How you voted: Shakhtar vs Porto

Shakhtar Donetsk
19.1%
Draw
26.0%
Porto
55.0%
131
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2014 7.45pm
Group Stage
Porto
1-1
Shakhtar
> Match Report
Sep 30, 2014 7.45pm
Group Stage
Shakhtar
2-2
Porto
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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