Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.