Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 59.07%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Montrose had a probability of 18.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.24%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Montrose win it was 1-0 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montrose | Draw | Falkirk |
18.85% ( 4.66) | 22.08% ( 3.45) | 59.07% ( -8.11) |
Both teams to score 52.71% ( -1.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.56% ( -7) | 45.44% ( 6.99) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.22% ( -7.04) | 67.77% ( 7.04) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.03% ( 1.5) | 37.97% ( -1.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.26% ( 1.43) | 74.74% ( -1.43) |
Falkirk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.97% ( -4.47) | 15.03% ( 4.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.49% ( -9.22) | 43.51% ( 9.22) |
Score Analysis |
Montrose | Draw | Falkirk |
1-0 @ 5.53% ( 1.65) 2-1 @ 5.07% ( 1.02) 2-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.88) 3-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.38) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.39% Total : 18.85% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( 1.76) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 1.54) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.26) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.08% | 0-1 @ 10.81% ( 1.44) 0-2 @ 10.24% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 9.92% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 6.48% ( -1.42) 1-3 @ 6.27% ( -1.07) 0-4 @ 3.07% ( -1.37) 2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.38) 1-4 @ 2.97% ( -1.16) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.48) 0-5 @ 1.16% ( -0.83) 1-5 @ 1.13% ( -0.73) Other @ 2.54% Total : 59.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |