We said: Cukaricki 1-2 Fiorentina
After a five-game unbeaten run featuring four wins, Fiorentina have since lost their last three league matches without scoring. A demolition job like two weeks ago may not be on the cards, then, but Cukaricki are slightly out of their depth and are set to lose again.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 53.97%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Cukaricki had a probability of 22.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Cukaricki win it was 1-0 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fiorentina in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.