Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 76.88%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 8.33%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.52%) and 1-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.01%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (2.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Spezia |
76.88% | 14.78% | 8.33% |
Both teams to score 47.09% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.14% | 36.86% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.96% | 59.04% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.1% | 7.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.06% | 27.94% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.12% | 48.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.14% | 83.86% |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Spezia |
2-0 @ 12.43% 3-0 @ 10.52% 1-0 @ 9.8% 2-1 @ 8.91% 3-1 @ 7.54% 4-0 @ 6.68% 4-1 @ 4.79% 5-0 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 2.7% 5-1 @ 2.43% 4-2 @ 1.71% 6-0 @ 1.44% 6-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.5% Total : 76.86% | 1-1 @ 7.01% 0-0 @ 3.86% 2-2 @ 3.19% Other @ 0.72% Total : 14.78% | 0-1 @ 2.76% 1-2 @ 2.51% 0-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.07% Total : 8.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 40 |
2 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Roma | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Empoli | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 13 |
20 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |