Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 51.97%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 25.02% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 2-1 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Sampdoria | Draw | Napoli |
25.02% | 23.01% | 51.97% |
Both teams to score 58.36% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.92% | 42.08% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.51% | 64.49% |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.69% | 30.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.51% | 66.49% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.74% | 16.26% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.21% | 45.78% |
Score Analysis |
Sampdoria | Draw | Napoli |
2-1 @ 6.38% 1-0 @ 5.88% 2-0 @ 3.51% 3-1 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 2.31% 3-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.01% Total : 25.02% | 1-1 @ 10.68% 2-2 @ 5.79% 0-0 @ 4.93% 3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23% | 1-2 @ 9.71% 0-1 @ 8.95% 0-2 @ 8.13% 1-3 @ 5.88% 0-3 @ 4.92% 2-3 @ 3.51% 1-4 @ 2.67% 0-4 @ 2.24% 2-4 @ 1.59% 1-5 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.4% Total : 51.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 40 |
2 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Roma | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Empoli | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 13 |
20 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |