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Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Sep 1, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Heidenheim

Dortmund
2 - 2
Heidenheim

Brandt (7'), Can (15' pen.)
Bensebaini (61'), Haller (82'), Can (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Dinkci (61'), Kleindienst (82' pen.)
Dinkci (35'), Beste (57'), Pieringer (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heidenheim 2-3 Hoffenheim
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-0 Heidenheim

Heidenheim could be facing Dortmund at a bad time here after the hosts dropped points in their last match, already putting them two points behind Bayern in their quest to win their first title since 2012. The visitors have not looked completely out of their depth despite competing at this level for the first time in the club's history, but that could change to an extent on Friday, with BVB likely to run out comfortable winners in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 58.34%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 21.34% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.7%) and 1-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (5.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawHeidenheim
58.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 20.32% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 21.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 63.21% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.41% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)33.59% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.6% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)55.4% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.58% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)11.42% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.81% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)36.19% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.35% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)28.65% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.54% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)64.46% (0.029999999999987 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 58.34%
    Heidenheim 21.34%
    Draw 20.32%
Borussia DortmundDrawHeidenheim
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.7% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.1% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 5.57% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 4.35% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-1 @ 3.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 3.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 2.36% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.64% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
5-2 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
4-3 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 58.34%
1-1 @ 8.87% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 3.27% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.81% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 20.32%
1-2 @ 5.55% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 4.09% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.56% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 21.34%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Heidenheim

Borussia Dortmund
89.0%
Draw
5.0%
Heidenheim
6.0%
100
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern17133153134042
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen17115141231838
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4RB Leipzig179352924530
5Stuttgart178543226629
6Mainz 05Mainz178453021928
7Wolfsburg178363829927
8Freiburg178362530-527
9Werder Bremen177553132-126
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach177372626024
12Augsburg175481933-1419
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin174581423-917
14St Pauli1742111221-914
15Heidenheim1742112336-1314
16Hoffenheim173592034-1414
17Holstein Kiel1732122543-1811
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1723121437-239


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