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Champions League
Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 19, 2022 at 5pm UK
Vilniaus LFF stadionas
Malmo

Zalgiris
1 - 0
Malmo

Ourega (49')
Ljubisavljevic (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Moisander (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between FK Zalgiris and Malmo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FK Zalgiris

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Zalgiris 1-0 KF Ballkani (0-0 pen.)
Tuesday, July 12 at 5pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Malmo

Last Six:
Last Game: Norrkoping 0-2 Malmo
Saturday, July 16 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: FK Zalgiris 1-2 Malmo

 Despite losing Antonio Colak to Rangers, there is no doubt Malmo still pack a punch in the final third, and they are capable of scoring more than once in Vilnius. Though in good form, Zalgiris may be found out at this stage of qualifying, with their latest visitors - group stage participants last term - representing a significant step-up in class. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 50.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 24.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a FK Zalgiris win it was 1-0 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
FK ZalgirisDrawMalmo
24.68% (-0.587 -0.59) 25.3% (0.062000000000001 0.06) 50.02% (0.528 0.53)
Both teams to score 50.61% (-0.75 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.85% (-0.706 -0.71)52.15% (0.706 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.13% (-0.612 -0.61)73.87% (0.613 0.61)
FK Zalgiris Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.96% (-0.895 -0.89)36.04% (0.897 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.18% (-0.925 -0.93)72.82% (0.92699999999999 0.93)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.13% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)20.86% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.44% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)53.56% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Score Analysis
    FK Zalgiris 24.68%
    Malmo 50.02%
    Draw 25.29%
FK ZalgirisDrawMalmo
1-0 @ 7.67% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.14% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-0 @ 3.92% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-1 @ 2.09% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.33% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 24.68%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.52% (0.209 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.29%
0-1 @ 11.78% (0.31 0.31)
1-2 @ 9.42% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 9.23% (0.222 0.22)
1-3 @ 4.92% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.82% (0.107 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.93% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.89% (0.039 0.04)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 50.02%

How you voted: Zalgiris vs Malmo

FK Zalgiris
15.9%
Draw
15.9%
Malmo
68.1%
69
rhs 2.0
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