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Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Leicester logo

Watford
1 - 2
Leicester

Dennis (63')
Porteous (75'), Hoedt (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Daka (11' pen.), Pereira (55')
Winks (37'), Nelson (45+5'), Vardy (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Watford 1-3 Leicester City

Having being outclassed against the second-placed team in the division on Tuesday, Watford would ideally not want to be facing the leaders next. Although a competitive encounter could ensue, Leicester should have enough quality in the final third to come through with the win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Watford had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.86%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest Watford win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Leicester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leicester City.

Result
WatfordDrawLeicester City
34.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 23.27% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 42.44% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 63.69% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.24% (0.1 0.1)37.76% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.99% (0.107 0.11)60% (-0.108 -0.11)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.9% (0.045000000000002 0.05)22.09% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.54% (0.065999999999995 0.07)55.45% (-0.067 -0.07)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.75% (0.051000000000002 0.05)18.24% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.71% (0.087000000000003 0.09)49.29% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Watford 34.28%
    Leicester City 42.44%
    Draw 23.27%
WatfordDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 7.82% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 6.09% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.6% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.35% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.31% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 34.28%
1-1 @ 10.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.65% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.03% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.9% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.27%
1-2 @ 8.81% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 6.86% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.77% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.31%
1-4 @ 2.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.6% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.41% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 42.44%

How you voted: Watford vs Leicester

Watford
16.2%
Draw
13.2%
Leicester City
70.6%
68
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Leicester
2-0
Watford
Vardy (76', 90+5' pen.)
Ndidi (62'), Vardy (68')

Louza (30'), Ismael (31'), Porteous (54'), Chakvetadze (72'), Kayembe (75'), Bachmann (83'), Asprilla (90')
Bachmann (90+3')
May 15, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 37
Watford
1-5
Leicester
Pedro (6')
Maddison (18'), Vardy (22', 70'), Barnes (46', 86')
Tielemans (55')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Third Round
Leicester
4-1
Watford
Tielemans (7' pen.), Maddison (25'), Barnes (54'), Albrighton (85')
Daley-Campbell (36')
Pedro (27')
Nov 28, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 13
Leicester
4-2
Watford
Maddison (16'), Vardy (34', 42'), Lookman (68')
King (30' pen.), Dennis (61')
Jun 20, 2020 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leicester CityLeicester432941081394291
2Ipswich TownIpswich432611685533289
3Leeds UnitedLeeds43269876344287
4Southampton43259985562984
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4420121267442372
6Norwich CityNorwich442191477611672
7Hull City431812136254866
8Coventry CityCoventry4217121366521463
9Middlesbrough43189166156563
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Cardiff CityCardiff44195205061-1162
12Bristol City441611175147459
13Sunderland44168205251156
14Swansea CitySwansea441511185762-556
15Watford441217155958153
16Millwall441411194355-1253
17Stoke CityStoke441311204460-1650
18Queens Park RangersQPR441311204157-1650
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn431310205771-1449
20Plymouth ArgylePlymouth441212205869-1148
21Birmingham CityBirmingham441210224864-1646
22Huddersfield TownHuddersfield44917184774-2744
23Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds43128233667-3144
RRotherham UnitedRotherham44412283285-5324


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