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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | Vitesse |
47.71% (![]() | 24.02% (![]() | 28.27% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.85% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.9% (![]() | 44.1% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.52% (![]() | 66.48% (![]() |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.38% (![]() | 18.62% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.08% (![]() | 49.92% (![]() |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.09% (![]() | 28.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.21% (![]() | 64.8% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | Vitesse |
2-1 @ 9.44% 1-0 @ 9.05% 2-0 @ 7.61% 3-1 @ 5.29% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.26% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.28% 4-1 @ 2.22% 4-0 @ 1.79% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.39% Total : 47.71% | 1-1 @ 11.23% 2-2 @ 5.86% 0-0 @ 5.39% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.02% | 1-2 @ 6.97% 0-1 @ 6.68% 0-2 @ 4.15% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.88% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.42% 0-3 @ 1.71% ( ![]() Other @ 3.46% Total : 28.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 69 | 24 | 45 | 51 |
2 | Ajax | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 43 | 18 | 25 | 48 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 40 | 33 | 7 | 42 |
4 | Feyenoord | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 39 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 21 | 15 | 37 |
6 | FC Twente | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 35 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 32 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 26 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 21 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 26 |
10 | Heerenveen | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 25 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 24 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 24 |
13 | Willem II | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 24 |
14 | Heracles | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 24 |
15 | Groningen | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 24 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 20 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 14 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 43 | -32 | 10 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |