MX23RW : Thursday, April 10 23:40:37| >> :600:597093:597093:
Leeds logo
FA Cup | Third Round Replays
Jan 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Elland Road
Cardiff City logo

Leeds
5 - 2
Cardiff

Gnonto (1', 36'), Rodrigo (34'), Bamford (71', 76')
Gnonto (40')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Robinson (84', 90+3' pen.)
Sang (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's FA Cup clash between Leeds United and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 Leeds
Friday, January 13 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Wigan
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 2-1 Cardiff City (a.e.t)

Neither Leeds nor Cardiff have the ingredients for a recipe for success right now, but if Whitehead can bring the new manager bounce to Elland Road with him, a leaky Whites side could be in for a tricky evening. Marsch's men tend to find their golden touch in front of their own supporters, though, and with some high-quality attacking players ready to make an impact off the bench, Leeds should book their place in round four, although they may require 120 minutes to do so. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 54.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 21.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawCardiff City
54.69% (0.086000000000006 0.09) 23.31% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07) 21.99% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.67% (0.20999999999999 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.42% (0.291 0.29)46.58% (-0.295 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.15% (0.271 0.27)68.85% (-0.27500000000001 -0.28)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.09% (0.13500000000001 0.14)16.91% (-0.139 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.03% (0.243 0.24)46.97% (-0.247 -0.25)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.59% (0.14400000000001 0.14)35.41% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.83% (0.151 0.15)72.17% (-0.154 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 54.69%
    Cardiff City 21.99%
    Draw 23.3%
Leeds UnitedDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 10.64% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.46% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.82% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.6% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.58% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.49% (0.015 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.018 0.02)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 54.69%
1-1 @ 11.04% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.99% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.1% (0.025 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.3%
0-1 @ 6.22% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.23% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.99% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 21.99%

How you voted: Leeds vs Cardiff

Leeds United
Cardiff City
Leeds United
83.3%
Cardiff City
16.7%
102
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2023 2pm
Third Round
Cardiff
2-2
Leeds
Philogene-Bidace (24'), Ojo (31')
Sang (9'), Bagan (35'), Wintle (83')
Bagan (80')
Rodrigo (65'), Perkins (90+3')
Gnonto (27'), Struijk (28'), Greenwood (70'), Wober (90+6')
Jun 21, 2020 12pm
Feb 3, 2018 3pm
Leeds
1-4
Cardiff
Bamba (54' og.)
Berardi (26')
Berardi (45')
Paterson (9'), Hoilett (41'), Morrison (45'), Pilkington (88')
Madine (35'), Ralls (45'), Pilkington (79'), Grujic (82')
Sep 26, 2017 7.45pm
Cardiff
3-1
Leeds
Zohore (28', 59'), Hoilett (37')
Roofe (67')
Phillips (23'), Cooper (39')
Cooper (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool31227272304273
2Arsenal311711356263062
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest31176851371457
4Chelsea31158854371753
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle30165952391353
6Manchester CityMan City31157957401752
7Aston Villa3114984646051
8Fulham3113994742548
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton31121184947247
10Bournemouth311291051401145
11Crystal Palace30111093935443
12Brentford31126135147442
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd31108133741-438
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs311141658451337
15Everton31714103338-535
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham3198143552-1735
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves3195174359-1632
18Ipswich TownIpswich3148193165-3420
19Leicester CityLeicester3145222570-4517
20Southampton3124252374-5110


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!