Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 70.32%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 12.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.28%), while for a Cerezo Osaka win it was 0-1 (3.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.