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MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Stadium mk
Burton Albion

MK Dons
1 - 1
Burton Albion

Johnson (84')
Harvie (45+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Adeboyejo (29' pen.)
Onyango (64'), Garratt (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between MK Dons and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: MK Dons 2-1 Burton Albion

Given their respective form, neither team will feel particularly confident about collecting maximum points at the weekend. Nevertheless, despite Burton heading into this fixture on the back of two draws, MK Dons remain the favourites and could edge the game by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 61.97%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 17.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawBurton Albion
61.97% (1.43 1.43) 20.96% (-0.388 -0.39) 17.07% (-1.045 -1.05)
Both teams to score 52.96% (-0.806 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.6% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)43.4% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.21% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)65.79% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.54% (0.42 0.42)13.46% (-0.421 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.55% (0.839 0.84)40.45% (-0.84 -0.84)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.2% (-1.234 -1.23)38.8% (1.233 1.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.46% (-1.186 -1.19)75.54% (1.186 1.19)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 61.96%
    Burton Albion 17.07%
    Draw 20.96%
MK DonsDrawBurton Albion
2-0 @ 10.5% (0.34 0.34)
1-0 @ 10.47% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.02% (0.329 0.33)
3-1 @ 6.65% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
4-0 @ 3.52% (0.216 0.22)
4-1 @ 3.33% (0.098 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.41% (0.107 0.11)
5-1 @ 1.34% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 61.96%
1-1 @ 9.92% (-0.165 -0.17)
0-0 @ 5.22% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.96%
0-1 @ 4.94% (-0.161 -0.16)
1-2 @ 4.69% (-0.242 -0.24)
0-2 @ 2.34% (-0.159 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.48% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 17.07%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Burton Albion

MK Dons
63.2%
Draw
21.1%
Burton Albion
15.8%
19
Head to Head
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Aug 31, 2021 7pm
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Burton Albion
1-2
MK Dons
Akins (74' pen.)
Clare (41'), Carter (58'), Hemmings (68')
Fraser (15' pen.), O'Hora (61')
McEachran (57'), Harvie (90+3')
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport30158746291753
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield29147841261549
6Charlton AthleticCharlton29138838281047
7Bolton WanderersBolton30145114746147
8Reading29136104341245
9Leyton Orient281351040251544
10Barnsley30127114241143
11Lincoln CityLincoln301010103635140
12Stevenage28117102727040
13Blackpool2991284241139
14Mansfield TownMansfield28114133535037
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham29107123435-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Northampton TownNorthampton3089132945-1633
18Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
19Bristol Rovers2894152844-1631
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2986154555-1030
21Burton Albion30511143145-1426
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2975173049-1926
23Crawley TownCrawley2866163052-2224
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2958163051-2123


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