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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Mansfield Town
League Two | Gameweek 38
Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
One Call Stadium
Sutton United

Mansfield
0 - 0
Sutton


Gale (47')
FT

Bugiel (40'), Kizzi (70'), Randall (77'), Beautyman (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Mansfield Town and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mansfield 0-0 Grimsby Town
Wednesday, March 22 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 0-1 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Mansfield Town 1-1 Sutton United

With both sides battling for promotion to League One, we expect Mansfield Town and Sutton United to play out a cagey draw at the One Call Stadium, keeping themselves in the mix for a playoff spot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawSutton United
42.12% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 26.71%31.17% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.93% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)54.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.5% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)75.5% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.62% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)25.38% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.82% (0.010000000000005 0.01)60.18% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.04% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)31.96% (0.011999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.59% (-0.012 -0.01)68.42% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 42.12%
    Sutton United 31.18%
    Draw 26.7%
Mansfield TownDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 11.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.7% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.63% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 3.98% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.49% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.27%
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 42.12%
1-1 @ 12.68%
0-0 @ 8.11% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.7%
0-1 @ 9.25% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 5.28% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.75% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.01% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 31.18%

How you voted: Mansfield vs Sutton

Mansfield Town
69.2%
Draw
7.7%
Sutton United
23.1%
26
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Sutton
2-1
Mansfield
Neufville (44'), Fadahunsi (82')
Rowe (15'), Kizzi (37'), Thomas (56')
Hawkins (75')
O'Toole (28'), Quinn (68')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Mansfield
2-3
Sutton
Goodliffe (78' og.), Longstaff (90+7')
Quinn (57')
Bugiel (9'), Ajiboye (49'), Bennett (80')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Sutton
2-0
Mansfield
John (4'), Bugiel (69')

Hawkins (5'), Stirk (32'), Clarke (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall23164343202352
2AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2411763428640
4Salford City2311662819939
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe2310942921839
6Port Vale2410862724338
7Notts County23107636261037
8Grimsby Town24121113537-237
9Bradford CityBradford239863026435
10Chesterfield249783829934
11Bromley2381053426834
12MK Dons2210483630634
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow237792324-128
16Colchester UnitedColchester2351262826227
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Swindon TownSwindon2459103139-824
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2257103040-1022
21Tranmere RoversTranmere2257101632-1622
22Harrogate TownHarrogate2464141937-1822
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2346131937-1818


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