Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 74.85%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 9.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.6%) and 3-0 (10.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.59%), while for a Toulouse win it was 0-1 (3.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Toulouse |
74.85% (![]() | 15.96% (![]() | 9.19% (![]() |
Both teams to score 46.49% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.35% (![]() | 39.65% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38% (![]() | 62% (![]() |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.98% | 9.01% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.29% (![]() | 30.71% (![]() |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.1% (![]() | 48.9% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.12% (![]() | 83.88% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Toulouse |
2-0 @ 12.76% (![]() 1-0 @ 10.6% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 10.23% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.13% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.32% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 6.16% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.41% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.96% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.62% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.12% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.58% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 3.76% Total : 74.83% | 1-1 @ 7.59% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.41% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.27% ( ![]() Other @ 0.7% Total : 15.96% | 0-1 @ 3.15% (![]() 1-2 @ 2.72% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 2.19% Total : 9.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 58 | 20 | 38 | 53 |
2 | Marseille | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 40 |
3 | Nice | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 37 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 37 |
5 | Lille | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 35 |
6 | Lens | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 33 |
7 | Brest | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 31 |
8 | Lyon | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 30 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 27 |
10 | Toulouse | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 26 |
11 | Rennes | 21 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 23 |
12 | Auxerre | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 23 |
13 | Angers | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
14 | Reims | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 22 |
15 | NantesNantes | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 21 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 19 | 45 | -26 | 18 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 21 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 17 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 15 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |