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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Jul 7, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Dr. DY Patil Stadium
Inter Miami

Cincinnati
6 - 1
Inter Miami

Kubo (10', 57'), Acosta (36'), Bucha (38'), Rodrigo Asad (45+4'), Valenzuela (72')
Nwobodo (55'), Santos (90')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Krivtsov (21')
Cremaschi (54'), Weigandt (59'), Krivtsov (61'), Busquets (62')
Busquets (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: DC United 2-3 Cincinnati
Thursday, July 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-2 Inter Miami
Thursday, July 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-1 Inter Miami

Inter Miami have proven they can win without Messi or Suarez but have not faced a side with as much overall talent as the Orange and Blue. Having a decisive difference-maker in Luciano Acosta available this weekend could give Cincinnati an edge against Miami in the race for first overall. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 57.21%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 21.5% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 1-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawInter Miami
57.21% (-0.70399999999999 -0.7) 21.29% (0.434 0.43) 21.5% (0.264 0.26)
Both teams to score 59.85% (-1.176 -1.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.93% (-1.726 -1.73)38.06% (1.722 1.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.67% (-1.862 -1.86)60.33% (1.858 1.86)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.83% (-0.76300000000001 -0.76)13.16% (0.758 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.14% (-1.568 -1.57)39.86% (1.564 1.56)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.93% (-0.74600000000001 -0.75)31.07% (0.742 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.61% (-0.881 -0.88)67.38% (0.876 0.88)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 57.21%
    Inter Miami 21.5%
    Draw 21.29%
FC CincinnatiDrawInter Miami
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.052 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.41% (0.214 0.21)
1-0 @ 8.29% (0.442 0.44)
3-1 @ 6.64% (-0.159 -0.16)
3-0 @ 5.68% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.88% (-0.174 -0.17)
4-1 @ 3.37% (-0.181 -0.18)
4-0 @ 2.88% (-0.094 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.97% (-0.149 -0.15)
5-1 @ 1.37% (-0.116 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.17% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 57.21%
1-1 @ 9.7% (0.327 0.33)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-0 @ 4.09% (0.328 0.33)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 21.29%
1-2 @ 5.67% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
0-1 @ 4.78% (0.293 0.29)
0-2 @ 2.8% (0.117 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.21% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 21.5%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Inter Miami

FC Cincinnati
53.3%
Draw
13.3%
Inter Miami
33.3%
60
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 12.30am
Aug 24, 2023 12am
Semi-Finals
Cincinnati
3-3
Inter Miami
(Aggregate 3-3 | Inter Miami win 5-4 on penalties)
Acosta (18'), Vazquez (53'), Kubo (114')
Nwobodo (31'), Acosta (85'), Barreal (90'), Powell (111'), Arias (117')
Campana (68', 90+7'), Martinez (93')
Alba (24'), Daniel Martino (25'), Mota (41'), Aviles (70'), Krivtsov (80')
Apr 2, 2023 12.30am
Jul 31, 2022 1am
Inter Miami
4-4
Cincinnati
Higuain (23', 37', 45+5' pen.), McVey (90+7')
Vassilev (60')
Brenner (28', 40'), Vazquez (81', 86')
Cameron (21'), Barreal (90+4')
Mar 19, 2022 5pm
Cincinnati
3-1
Inter Miami
Matarrita (18'), Vazquez (24', 82')
Matarrita (33'), Moreno (56'), Kann (90+1')
Higuain (30' pen.)
Mo (47'), Gregore (53'), Lowe (78')
rhs 2.0
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