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Nashville
Major League Soccer
Jun 23, 2024 at 1.30am UK
First Tennessee Park
New York City

Nashville
1 - 0
NY City

Boyd (23')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rodriguez (26'), Gray (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toronto 1-2 Nashville
Thursday, June 20 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-0 NY City
Thursday, June 20 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 1-2 New York City FC

Having two terrific chances creators in Moralez and Rodriguez should enable the Boys in Blue to unlock this formidable Nashville backline and give NYCFC a first-ever away victory against them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 53.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 23.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a New York City FC win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nashville SC in this match.

Result
Nashville SCDrawNew York City FC
53.02% (1.619 1.62) 23.78% (-0.88 -0.88) 23.19% (-0.74 -0.74)
Both teams to score 53.7% (1.919 1.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.71% (2.951 2.95)47.28% (-2.949 -2.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.49% (2.679 2.68)69.51% (-2.679 -2.68)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.22% (1.754 1.75)17.78% (-1.752 -1.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.51% (2.945 2.95)48.49% (-2.944 -2.94)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.31% (0.95999999999999 0.96)34.69% (-0.959 -0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.58% (1.002 1)71.41% (-1.003 -1)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 53.02%
    New York City FC 23.19%
    Draw 23.77%
Nashville SCDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 10.65% (-0.72 -0.72)
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.162 0.16)
2-0 @ 9.2% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.61% (0.394 0.39)
3-0 @ 5.3% (0.242 0.24)
3-2 @ 2.97% (0.279 0.28)
4-1 @ 2.42% (0.292 0.29)
4-0 @ 2.29% (0.223 0.22)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.184 0.18)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 53.02%
1-1 @ 11.27% (-0.45 -0.45)
0-0 @ 6.17% (-0.795 -0.8)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.217 0.22)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.124 0.12)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.77%
0-1 @ 6.53% (-0.652 -0.65)
1-2 @ 5.97% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.46% (-0.247 -0.25)
1-3 @ 2.11% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.122 0.12)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 23.19%

How you voted: Nashville vs NY City

Nashville SC
32.6%
Draw
30.4%
New York City FC
37.0%
46
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 12.30am
Feb 25, 2023 9.30pm
Oct 3, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 37
NY City
0-0
Nashville
Moralez (70'), Gray (88')
Sep 4, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 29
Nashville
3-1
NY City
Williams (30', 68'), Latinovich (32' og.)
Apr 26, 2020 10pm
rhs 2.0
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