Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 61.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 16.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 0-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
Result | ||
Columbus Crew | Draw | Nashville SC |
61.75% ( 0.12) | 21.66% ( -0.05) | 16.59% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 49.69% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.76% ( 0.08) | 47.24% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.53% ( 0.08) | 69.47% ( -0.08) |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.23% ( 0.07) | 14.76% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.99% ( 0.13) | 43.01% ( -0.13) |
Nashville SC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.3% ( -0.04) | 41.7% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.82% ( -0.04) | 78.17% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Columbus Crew | Draw | Nashville SC |
1-0 @ 11.77% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.26% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.43% Total : 61.74% | 1-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 21.66% | 0-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 1.77% Total : 16.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 28 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 65 | 41 | 24 | 62 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 28 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 52 |
3 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 50 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 43 |
5 | Orlando City | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 40 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 40 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 38 |
8 | Toronto | 29 | 11 | 3 | 15 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 36 |
9 | DC United | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 44 | 57 | -13 | 33 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 31 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 46 | 2 | 30 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 37 | 59 | -22 | 30 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 29 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 29 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 27 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 55 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 36 | 14 | 48 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 54 | 40 | 14 | 47 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 55 | 46 | 9 | 47 |
5 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 46 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 45 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 40 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 39 |
10 | Dallas | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 44 | 45 | -1 | 34 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 34 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 28 |
13 | St Louis City | 29 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 28 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 28 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 34 | 65 | -31 | 17 |