Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 27.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.
Result | ||
DC United | Draw | Nashville SC |
47.81% ( -0.02) | 24.42% ( 0.04) | 27.77% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 56.13% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.81% ( -0.21) | 46.19% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.51% ( -0.2) | 68.48% ( 0.19) |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.59% ( -0.09) | 19.4% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.78% ( -0.15) | 51.22% ( 0.14) |
Nashville SC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.64% ( -0.13) | 30.36% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.45% ( -0.15) | 66.55% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
DC United | Draw | Nashville SC |
1-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.33% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.08% Total : 47.81% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.41% | 0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 27.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 27 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 62 | 40 | 22 | 59 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 51 |
3 | Columbus Crew | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 49 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 28 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 43 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 39 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 38 |
7 | Orlando City | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 37 |
8 | Toronto | 28 | 10 | 3 | 15 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 33 |
9 | DC United | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 32 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 31 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 30 |
12 | New England RevolutionNew England | 26 | 8 | 3 | 15 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 27 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 27 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 50 | -16 | 26 |
15 | Nashville SCNashville | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 44 | -18 | 26 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 48 | 32 | 16 | 48 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 53 | 36 | 17 | 47 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 45 | 8 | 44 |
5 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 43 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 42 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 41 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 55 | 46 | 9 | 40 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 44 | 45 | -1 | 36 |
10 | Dallas | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 44 | 45 | -1 | 34 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 34 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 28 |
13 | St Louis City | 28 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 28 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 34 | 63 | -29 | 17 |