Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 49.6%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 25.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.