Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 35.82%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.49%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (11.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Santa Clara |
35.28% ( 0.38) | 28.9% ( 0.19) | 35.82% ( -0.56) |
Both teams to score 45.17% ( -0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.54% ( -0.62) | 61.47% ( 0.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.66% ( -0.46) | 81.34% ( 0.47) |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.03% ( -0.07) | 32.97% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.45% ( -0.08) | 69.55% ( 0.08) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.39% ( -0.68) | 32.61% ( 0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.84% ( -0.77) | 69.16% ( 0.77) |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Santa Clara |
1-0 @ 11.93% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 7.42% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 2.74% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.59% Total : 35.28% | 1-1 @ 13.36% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.89% | 0-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.49% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.67% Total : 35.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 3 | 32 | 30 |
2 | Porto | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 4 | 23 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 6 | 18 | 22 |
4 | Braga | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 20 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 18 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 18 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Casa Pia | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 12 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 9 |
13 | AVS | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
14 | Rio AveRio Ave | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
15 | Nacional | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 7 |
17 | Estrela Amadora | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 6 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 4 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |