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Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
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Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Apr 1, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio José Alvalade
Santa Clara

Sporting Lisbon
3 - 0
Santa Clara

Paulinho (14'), Trincao (22'), Edwards (52')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Sagna (45+2'), Misao (77'), MT (81'), Adriano (85'), Babi (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arsenal 1-1 Sporting Lisbon (3-5 pen.)
Thursday, March 16 at 8pm in Europa League

Santa Clara

All competitions
Last Game: Santa Clara 0-2 Rio Ave
Friday, March 17 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Santa Clara

 Given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, Sporting Lisbon will fancy their chances against bottom-dwellers Santa Clara. Buoyed by their impressive result over Arsenal in Europe, we predict that Amorim's men will continue where they dropped off last time out and claim a comfortable home victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 78.95%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 6.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.93%) and 1-0 (11.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.77%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (2.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawSanta Clara
78.95% (0.046999999999997 0.05) 14.35% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03) 6.7% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 40.08% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.69% (0.1 0.1)41.31% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.29% (0.101 0.1)63.71% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.53% (0.033000000000001 0.03)8.47% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.63% (0.085999999999999 0.09)29.37% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Santa Clara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.79% (0.030000000000001 0.03)56.21% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.41% (0.016999999999999 0.02)88.59% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 78.93%
    Santa Clara 6.7%
    Draw 14.35%
Sporting LisbonDrawSanta Clara
2-0 @ 14.5% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 11.93%
1-0 @ 11.74% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 7.37% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.88% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.25% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 3.64% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.98% (0.004 0)
6-0 @ 1.5% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 78.93%
1-1 @ 6.77% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.76% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 2.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 14.35%
0-1 @ 2.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 1.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 6.7%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Santa Clara

Sporting Lisbon
96.2%
Draw
0.0%
Santa Clara
3.8%
26
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3.30pm
Santa Clara
1-2
Sporting Lisbon
Tagawa (90+5')
Morita (29'), Santos (90')
May 14, 2022 8.30pm
Sporting Lisbon
4-0
Santa Clara
Tabata (41'), Porro (51'), Sarabia (56'), Edwards (78')
Braganca (71')

Oliveira (69'), Gomez (75')
Jan 26, 2022 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Sporting Lisbon
2-1
Santa Clara
Villanueva (40' og.), Sarabia (65' pen.)
Esgaio (23'), Esteves (90+8')
Lincoln (32')
Carvalho (24'), Crysan (34'), Henrique (90+8')
Costa (63')
Jan 7, 2022 6.30pm
Santa Clara
3-2
Sporting Lisbon
Patric (30'), Lincoln (51'), Antonio (78')
Boateng (60'), Carvalho (62'), Mansur (75'), Costa (79'), Bouldini (88'), Pereira (90+4')
Palhinha (10'), Sarabia (50')
Reis (14'), Paulinho (17'), Esgaio (82')
Braganca (90+3')
Mar 5, 2021 8.45pm
Sporting Lisbon
2-1
Santa Clara
Goncalves (22'), Coates (90+3')
Costa (84')
Carvalho (41'), Cardoso (62')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Porto1512123692737
2Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
3Benfica1411213482635
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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