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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Nov 9, 2024 at 5pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Milan logo

Cagliari
3 - 3
AC Milan

Zortea (2'), Zappa (53', 90')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Leao (15', 40'), Abraham (69')
Fofana (61'), Hernandez (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 2-1 Cagliari
Monday, November 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-3 AC Milan
Tuesday, November 5 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Cagliari 0-2 AC Milan

Milan have scored a league-high 65% of their goals in the first half this season, while only two teams have found the net less than Cagliari before the break. So, expect the Rossoneri to take a lead that they will not relinquish, as they are improving at the back and their hosts are lightweight up front. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
CagliariDrawAC Milan
31.79% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 25.14% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 43.06% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Both teams to score 56.07% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.66% (0.012999999999998 0.01)47.34% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.44% (0.012 0.01)69.56% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.84% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)28.15% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.16% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)63.84% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.04% (0.018000000000001 0.02)21.96% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.75% (0.029000000000003 0.03)55.25% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 31.79%
    AC Milan 43.06%
    Draw 25.13%
CagliariDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 7.84% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.53% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 4.97% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.41%
3-0 @ 2.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 31.79%
1-1 @ 11.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.18% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 5.71%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 9.37%
1-2 @ 9.01% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-2 @ 7.1% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 4.55% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 3.59% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.88% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.36% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 43.06%

How you voted: Cagliari vs AC Milan

Cagliari
8.1%
Draw
11.7%
AC Milan
80.2%
111
Head to Head
May 11, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
AC Milan
5-1
Cagliari
Bennacer (35'), Pulisic (59', 86'), Reijnders (74'), Leao (83')
Bennacer (28'), Gabbia (33')
Nandez (63')
Mina (69')
Jan 2, 2024 8pm
Round of 16
AC Milan
4-1
Cagliari
Jovic (29', 42'), Traore (50'), Leao (90+1')
Azzi (87')
Di Pardo (59'), Deiola (70'), Azzi (88')
Sep 27, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
Cagliari
1-3
AC Milan
Luvumbo (29')
Wieteska (42'), Zappa (53'), Oristanio (78')
Okafor (40'), Tomori (45'), Loftus-Cheek (60')
Loftus-Cheek (48')
Mar 19, 2022 7.45pm
Aug 29, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
AC Milan
4-1
Cagliari
Tonali (12'), Leao (17'), Giroud (24', 43' pen.)
Diaz (73')
Deiola (15')
Henrique (5'), Deiola (38'), Strootman (41'), Godin (62'), Nandez (84')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta15111338172134
2Napoli15102321101132
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus1569024101427
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese156271822-420
10Empoli154741415-119
11Roma154471821-316
12Torino154471620-416
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari153571525-1014
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1523101327-149


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