Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 3

Apr 20, 2024 at 1pm UK

Bolt Arena

HJK Helsinki
2 - 1
Mariehamn

Toivio (11'), Keskinen (66')
Olusanya (17'), Lingman (61'), Kouassivi-Benissan (81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Larsson (89')
Patut (49')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between HJK Helsinki and IFK Mariehamn.

Form, Standings, Stats

HJK Helsinki

All competitions

Finnish Veikkausliiga

Last Game: HJK Helsinki 4-0 Lahti
Thursday, April 11 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Goals
for

IFK Mariehamn

All competitions

Finnish Veikkausliiga

Last Game: Mariehamn 2-2 KuPS
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.

Result
HJK Helsinki	Draw	IFK Mariehamn
43.36% ( -0.37)	25.02% ( 0.15)	31.62% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 56.42% (

-0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.15% (

-0.56)

46.85% (

0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.89% (

-0.53)

69.11% (

0.53)

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.39% (

-0.4)

21.61% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.28% (

-0.62)

54.72% (

0.63)

IFK Mariehamn Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.98% (

-0.13)

28.03% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.32% (

-0.17)

63.68% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

HJK Helsinki 43.36%

IFK Mariehamn 31.62%

Draw 25.02%

HJK Helsinki	Draw	IFK Mariehamn
1-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.47% Total : 43.36%	1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.02%	0-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.18% 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 31.62%