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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jun 2, 2024 at 12.15am UK
Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra

Belgrano
1 - 0
Argentinos Jrs

Heredia (67')
Baldi (11'), Cruz Real (13'), Chavarria (16'), Losada (83')
Chavarria (39')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Godoy (7'), Gamarra (74'), Vega (79'), Heredia (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Belgrano and Argentinos Juniors, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Internacional 1-2 Belgrano
Wednesday, May 29 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Belgrano 1-1 Argentinos Juniors

Saturday's game could be close to call with Belgrano no longer distracted by continental games for a while, even if the same applies to Argentinos, who have endured a disappointing road form. The outcome could be contingent on which team adapts quicker following midweek Sudamericana exertions, and that uncertainty means we err on the side of caution by going for a tie in the round four fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Belgrano in this match.

Result
BelgranoDrawArgentinos Juniors
40.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 28.28% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 31.22% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Both teams to score 46.21% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.15% (0.018000000000001 0.02)59.86% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.87% (0.014999999999997 0.01)80.13% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Belgrano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04% (0.013000000000005 0.01)28.96% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.15% (0.012999999999998 0.01)64.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.05% (0.012 0.01)34.95% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.31% (0.012 0.01)71.69% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Belgrano 40.5%
    Argentinos Juniors 31.22%
    Draw 28.27%
BelgranoDrawArgentinos Juniors
1-0 @ 12.54%
2-1 @ 8.17%
2-0 @ 7.77% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.77% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 40.5%
1-1 @ 13.18%
0-0 @ 10.12%
2-2 @ 4.3% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.27%
0-1 @ 10.64%
1-2 @ 6.93% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.59%
1-3 @ 2.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 31.22%

How you voted: Belgrano vs Argentinos Jrs

Belgrano
0.0%
Draw
60.0%
Argentinos Juniors
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 10.15pm
Gameweek 4
Argentinos Jrs
3-0
Belgrano
Gonzalez (4'), Gabriel Montiel (52'), Avalos (72')
Feb 2, 2019 10.20pm
Gameweek 17
Argentinos Jrs
0-0
Belgrano
Hauche (22'), Mac Allister (83'), Torren (93')
Gudino (25'), Meli (79')
Herrera (35')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield23128335152044
2HuracanHuracan23119327151242
3Racing ClubRacing23124734221240
4TalleresTalleres2310942822639
5River PlateRiver Plate2399531181336
6UnionUnion2310672422236
7Atletico TucumanTucuman2310672524136
8Boca Juniors239772823534
9IndependienteIndependiente2371242014633
10Platense238961816233
11Instituto239592925432
12Deportivo Riestra238872424032
13BelgranoBelgrano2371062826231
14EstudiantesEstudiantes2371062624231
15GimnasiaGimnasia237882020029
16TigreTigre237882628-229
17Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2361072325-228
18San Lorenzo237791921-228
19Central CordobaC. Cordoba237792630-428
20LanusLanus2361072228-628
21Independiente Rivadavia237791724-728
22Rosario CentralRosario236892423126
23Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2375111823-526
24Defensa y JusticiaDefensa236892431-726
25BanfieldBanfield2357112029-922
26Sarmiento2349101525-1021
27Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2356121732-1521
28Barracas Central2338121130-1917


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