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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jun 2, 2024 at 12.15am UK
Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra

Belgrano
1 - 0
Argentinos Jrs

Heredia (67')
Baldi (11'), Cruz Real (13'), Chavarria (16'), Losada (83')
Chavarria (39')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Godoy (7'), Gamarra (74'), Vega (79'), Heredia (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Belgrano and Argentinos Juniors, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Internacional 1-2 Belgrano
Wednesday, May 29 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Belgrano 1-1 Argentinos Juniors

Saturday's game could be close to call with Belgrano no longer distracted by continental games for a while, even if the same applies to Argentinos, who have endured a disappointing road form. The outcome could be contingent on which team adapts quicker following midweek Sudamericana exertions, and that uncertainty means we err on the side of caution by going for a tie in the round four fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Belgrano in this match.

Result
BelgranoDrawArgentinos Juniors
40.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 28.28% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 31.22% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Both teams to score 46.21% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.15% (0.018000000000001 0.02)59.86% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.87% (0.014999999999997 0.01)80.13% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Belgrano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04% (0.013000000000005 0.01)28.96% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.15% (0.012999999999998 0.01)64.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.05% (0.012 0.01)34.95% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.31% (0.012 0.01)71.69% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Belgrano 40.5%
    Argentinos Juniors 31.22%
    Draw 28.27%
BelgranoDrawArgentinos Juniors
1-0 @ 12.54%
2-1 @ 8.17%
2-0 @ 7.77% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.77% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 40.5%
1-1 @ 13.18%
0-0 @ 10.12%
2-2 @ 4.3% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.27%
0-1 @ 10.64%
1-2 @ 6.93% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.59%
1-3 @ 2.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 31.22%

How you voted: Belgrano vs Argentinos Jrs

Belgrano
0.0%
Draw
60.0%
Argentinos Juniors
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 10.15pm
Gameweek 4
Argentinos Jrs
3-0
Belgrano
Gonzalez (4'), Gabriel Montiel (52'), Avalos (72')
Feb 2, 2019 10.20pm
Gameweek 17
Argentinos Jrs
0-0
Belgrano
Hauche (22'), Mac Allister (83'), Torren (93')
Gudino (25'), Meli (79')
Herrera (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield20116333141939
2HuracanHuracan209922091136
3UnionUnion209652318533
4TalleresTalleres208932420433
5Racing ClubRacing209472820831
6River PlateRiver Plate2079424141030
7Atletico TucumanTucuman208662021-130
8Instituto208572519629
9Deportivo Riestra208572222029
10Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2061042219328
11EstudiantesEstudiantes207762321228
12Platense207761716128
13IndependienteIndependiente2051231613327
14TigreTigre206862523226
15BelgranoBelgrano206862323026
16GimnasiaGimnasia206771919025
17Boca Juniors206772122-125
18Rosario CentralRosario206682220224
19San Lorenzo206681618-224
20Independiente Rivadavia206681320-724
21Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs206591620-423
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba206592227-523
23LanusLanus205872027-723
24Sarmiento204971520-521
25BanfieldBanfield205691926-721
26Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB205691324-1121
27Defensa y JusticiaDefensa204791729-1219
28Barracas Central2037101024-1416


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