DFB-Pokal | First Round
Sep 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
BRITA-Arena
Wiesbaden2 - 3RB Leipzig
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wiesbaden 0-2 Elversberg
Saturday, September 23 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
Saturday, September 23 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 0-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, September 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, September 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Wehen Wiesbaden 1-3 RB Leipzig
Given the amount of changes that both managers are likely to make for this tie, we expect to see a relatively open, free-flowing encounter play out in Wiesbaden. While the visitors' lack of defensive depth and star quality in that area of the pitch could leave them exposed on occasions, they should have more than enough attacking firepower to call upon to avoid defeat, meaning that their hopes of making German cup history would remain alive for another round. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 55.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Wehen Wiesbaden had a probability of 22.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.66%) and 0-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Wehen Wiesbaden win it was 2-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wehen Wiesbaden | Draw | RB Leipzig |
22.03% ( -0.27) | 22.54% ( 0.05) | 55.42% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 56.25% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
