MX23RW : Tuesday, February 11 19:29:04| >> :60:1145:1145:
Aruba national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Oct 12, 2024 at 1am UK
Compleho Deportivo Guillermo Prospero Trinidad
Haiti national football team

Aruba
1 - 3
Haiti

Perret Gentil (6')
Perret Gentil (28'), Jimenez (33'), Marselia (79')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Pierrot (31'), Nazon (38' pen., 61')
Arcus (62')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Aruba and Haiti.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aruba

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Aruba 0-1 Puerto Rico
Tuesday, September 10 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League

Haiti

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Haiti 6-0 Sint Maarten
Monday, September 9 at 10pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 62.38%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Aruba had a probability of 17.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.33%) and 0-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for an Aruba win it was 2-1 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haiti would win this match.

Result
ArubaDrawHaiti
17.66% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 19.95% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 62.38% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 57.77% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.33% (0.057000000000002 0.06)37.66% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.09% (0.064 0.06)59.9% (-0.064 -0.06)
Aruba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.33% (0.007000000000005 0.01)34.66% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.61% (0.010000000000002 0.01)71.39% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Haiti Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.42% (0.028999999999996 0.03)11.58% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.46% (0.066000000000003 0.07)36.53% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Aruba 17.66%
    Haiti 62.38%
    Draw 19.95%
ArubaDrawHaiti
2-1 @ 4.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.25% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.25% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 1.72% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 17.66%
1-1 @ 9.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.24%
0-0 @ 4.01% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 19.95%
1-2 @ 9.88% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 9.33% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-1 @ 8.65% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 7.1% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 6.71% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 3.83% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.76% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 3.61% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.03% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-5 @ 1.65% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.56% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 4.27%
Total : 62.38%

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