Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 15, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Medellin2 - 19 de Octubre
Hernandez (9'), Castrillon (90+4')
Arregui (10'), Loaiza (53'), Pons (56'), Ricaurte (85'), Castrillon (90+6')
Arregui (10'), Loaiza (53'), Pons (56'), Ricaurte (85'), Castrillon (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Independiente Medellin and 9 de Octubre.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Medellin 1-1 Guairena
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Internacional 5-1 9 de Octubre
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 47.21%. A win for 9 de Octubre had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest 9 de Octubre win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente Medellin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Independiente Medellin | Draw | 9 de Octubre |
| 47.21% | 24.6% | 28.19% |
| Both teams to score 55.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
