Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Kaiserslautern had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Kaiserslautern win was 2-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.
