Larnaca1 - 2Fenerbahce
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, October 9 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
We said: AEK Larnaca 1-2 Fenerbahce
Although Fenerbahce are winless in their last three away games, their overall form remains impressive, and we think that they will edge out Larnaca on Thursday to claim a third consecutive victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 51%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 22.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.19%) and 1-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for an AEK Larnaca win it was 1-0 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fenerbahce in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fenerbahce.
Result | ||
AEK Larnaca | Draw | Fenerbahce |
22.72% (![]() | 26.27% (![]() | 51% (![]() |
Both teams to score 45.84% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.62% (![]() | 57.38% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.8% (![]() | 78.2% (![]() |
AEK Larnaca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.22% (![]() | 40.78% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.64% (![]() | 77.36% (![]() |
Fenerbahce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.4% (![]() | 22.6% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.79% (![]() | 56.21% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
AEK Larnaca | Draw | Fenerbahce |
1-0 @ 8.27% (![]() 2-1 @ 5.51% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.71% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.65% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.23% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 1.26% Total : 22.73% | 1-1 @ 12.29% (![]() 0-0 @ 9.22% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.1% ( ![]() Other @ 0.66% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 13.7% (![]() 0-2 @ 10.19% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.14% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.05% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.53% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.03% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.88% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.69% ( ![]() Other @ 2.78% Total : 50.99% |
How you voted: Larnaca vs Fenerbahce
![Tables header RHS Tables header RHS](https://sm.imgix.net/23/25/tables-header-rhs.jpg?w=300&h=46)
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
![France vs. Belgium - prediction, team news, lineups France vs. Belgium - prediction, team news, lineups](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
![Euro 2024 today: Who is playing? How to watch? What to look out for? Euro 2024 today: Who is playing? How to watch? What to look out for?](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
![Greek Geordie: Newcastle confirm signing of Nottingham Forest goalkeeper Greek Geordie: Newcastle confirm signing of Nottingham Forest goalkeeper](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
![PSR boost: Newcastle confirm £35m exit of 21-year-old to Nottingham Forest PSR boost: Newcastle confirm £35m exit of 21-year-old to Nottingham Forest](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
![Spain vs. Georgia - prediction, team news, lineups Spain vs. Georgia - prediction, team news, lineups](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
![Chelsea 'consider' Alexander Isak swap deal amid £115m claim Chelsea 'consider' Alexander Isak swap deal amid £115m claim](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
![Club-record deal confirmed: Chelsea announce £22m sale of 20-year-old Club-record deal confirmed: Chelsea announce £22m sale of 20-year-old](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
![England vs. Slovakia - prediction, team news, lineups England vs. Slovakia - prediction, team news, lineups](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
![Guardiola's revenge? Man City 'could beat' Man Utd to Branthwaite deal Guardiola's revenge? Man City 'could beat' Man Utd to Branthwaite deal](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
![Are England playing today? Are England playing today?](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
![As featured on NewsNow: Sport news As featured on NewsNow: Sport news](https://sm.imgix.net/12/40/newsnow_f_ab.gif?w=160&h=50)