MX23RW : Monday, July 1 02:07:28| >> :600:283192:283192:
Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 13, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
AEK Arena

Larnaca
1 - 2
Fenerbahce

Trichkovski (52' pen.)
Angel (38'), Mamas (41'), Trichkovski (49'), Olatunji (88'), Faraj (90+5'), Pons (90+5')
Angel (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pedro (16'), Batshuayi (80' pen.)
Guler (33'), Lincoln (43'), Aziz (67'), Henrique (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between AEK Larnaca and Fenerbahce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Fenerbahce 2-0 Larnaca
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa League
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We said: AEK Larnaca 1-2 Fenerbahce

Although Fenerbahce are winless in their last three away games, their overall form remains impressive, and we think that they will edge out Larnaca on Thursday to claim a third consecutive victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 51%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 22.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.19%) and 1-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for an AEK Larnaca win it was 1-0 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fenerbahce in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fenerbahce.

Result
AEK LarnacaDrawFenerbahce
22.72% (0.041 0.04) 26.27% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 51% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Both teams to score 45.84% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.62% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)57.38% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.8% (0.004999999999999 0)78.2% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
AEK Larnaca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.22% (0.044000000000004 0.04)40.78% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.64% (0.038999999999998 0.04)77.36% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.4% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)22.6% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.79% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)56.21% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    AEK Larnaca 22.73%
    Fenerbahce 50.99%
    Draw 26.27%
AEK LarnacaDrawFenerbahce
1-0 @ 8.27% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.71% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.65% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.23% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 22.73%
1-1 @ 12.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.22% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 4.1% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 13.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 10.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.14% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 5.05% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.53% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-3 @ 2.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.88% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.69% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 50.99%

How you voted: Larnaca vs Fenerbahce

AEK Larnaca
14.8%
Draw
11.5%
Fenerbahce
73.8%
122
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2022 8pm
Group B
Fenerbahce
2-0
Larnaca
Batshuayi (26'), Mamas (80' og.)
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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