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Georgia national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Playoff Semi-Finals Route A
Oct 8, 2020 at 5pm UK
 
Belarus national football team

Georgia
1 - 0
Belarus

Okriashvili (7' pen.)
Kvekveskiri (38'), Kankava (52'), Qazaishvili (69'), Kvilitaia (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Naumov (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro qualifying Path D playoff semi-final between Georgia and Belarus, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia win with a probability of 48.47%. A win for Belarus had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Georgia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Belarus win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Georgia would win this match.

Result
GeorgiaDrawBelarus
48.47%23.96%27.57%
Both teams to score 57.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.69%44.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.32%66.68%
Georgia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.6%18.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.45%49.55%
Belarus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.47%29.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.45%65.55%
Score Analysis
    Georgia 48.47%
    Belarus 27.57%
    Draw 23.96%
GeorgiaDrawBelarus
2-1 @ 9.5%
1-0 @ 9.2%
2-0 @ 7.79%
3-1 @ 5.36%
3-0 @ 4.39%
3-2 @ 3.27%
4-1 @ 2.27%
4-0 @ 1.86%
4-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 48.47%
1-1 @ 11.22%
2-2 @ 5.79%
0-0 @ 5.43%
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.96%
1-2 @ 6.84%
0-1 @ 6.63%
0-2 @ 4.04%
1-3 @ 2.78%
2-3 @ 2.36%
0-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 27.57%

rhs 2.0
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3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest25145641291247
4Manchester CityMan City25135752351744
5Bournemouth25127644291543
6Chelsea25127647341343
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2512584233941
8Fulham2510963833539
9Aston Villa2510873538-338
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2591063838037
11Brentford25104114342134
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs25931349371230
13Crystal Palace257992932-330
14Everton257992731-430
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd2585122835-729
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2576122947-1827
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2554163554-1919
18Ipswich TownIpswich2538142350-2717
19Leicester CityLeicester2545162555-3017
20Southampton2523201957-389


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